Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.031288 0.033644 0.036108 0.038877 0.041909 0.045132 0.048822
2025-06-01 0.027109 0.030404 0.034028 0.038324 0.043296 0.048892 0.055699
2025-06-08 0.024154 0.027941 0.032266 0.037602 0.044046 0.051631 0.061309
2025-06-15 0.022121 0.026232 0.031072 0.037240 0.044958 0.054389 0.066925
2025-06-22 0.020518 0.024843 0.030068 0.036912 0.045743 0.056891 0.072254
2025-06-29 0.019027 0.023448 0.028907 0.036231 0.045934 0.058540 0.076477
2025-07-06 0.018213 0.022825 0.028642 0.036628 0.047483 0.061989 0.083298
2025-07-13 0.017345 0.022064 0.028126 0.036622 0.048442 0.064648 0.089161
2025-07-20 0.016741 0.021599 0.027954 0.037038 0.049965 0.068139 0.096441
2025-07-27 0.015968 0.020860 0.027359 0.036812 0.050537 0.070273 0.101821
2025-08-03 0.015263 0.020170 0.026783 0.036563 0.051032 0.072287 0.107128
2025-08-10 0.014632 0.019545 0.026260 0.036343 0.051535 0.074311 0.112565
2025-08-17 0.014080 0.019011 0.025841 0.036260 0.052244 0.076711 0.118837
2025-08-24 0.013438 0.018319 0.025163 0.035749 0.052258 0.078011 0.123372
2025-08-31 0.012800 0.017603 0.024413 0.035085 0.051981 0.078808 0.127086
2025-09-07 0.012302 0.017068 0.023902 0.034752 0.052198 0.080401 0.132286
2025-09-14 0.011847 0.016576 0.023431 0.034451 0.052436 0.082026 0.137653
2025-09-21 0.011337 0.015981 0.022777 0.033824 0.052098 0.082637 0.141183
2025-09-28 0.011114 0.015805 0.022749 0.034189 0.053417 0.086170 0.150473
2025-10-05 0.010811 0.015497 0.022503 0.034184 0.054103 0.088625 0.157891
2025-10-12 0.010619 0.015348 0.022497 0.034566 0.055469 0.092372 0.168180
2025-10-19 0.010300 0.014991 0.022147 0.034358 0.055785 0.094216 0.174772
2025-10-26 0.009994 0.014643 0.021796 0.034129 0.056045 0.095962 0.181303